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Picks Game - Wrap up 07/09/2007 - 7:11 PM

Once more, with feeling.Picksgame_2

A tournament spinning out of control, rescued (in the memories of this fan) by some dramatic quarter finals, a classic underdog meets returning heroine Women's Final, and a clash of the titans Men's final that had sportswriters and fans reaching for the superlatives section in the thesaurus.

Still, all this is covered elsewhere.  How did we do with our Picks?

Not bad, in the end.  With moderate confidence, the Tribe called both Finals correctly (75% and 74% for Venus Williams and Federer, respectively).  The Tribe also went 3/4 in the semis - no surprises there, but a huge collective black eye, with 100% (!) of the Tribe expecting Justine Henin to make the final.

Overall, the Tribe correctly predicted 47 out of 61 matches for 77%, just under the 51 for 61 performance at Roland Garros (84%).  I believe this is statistically insignificant (I will check), so I'd say the Tribe did about as well in the two tournaments.

Interestingly, the Tribe actually did better than the "naive" strategy of just picking the top ranked player.  The naive strategy, or NS, was right about the coinflip Monfils - Davydenko (51% went for year of Gael), and 55% picked Hewitt to knock off Djokovic.

But 96% of us were right in taking Hewitt to get past Canas, and we also picked Tsonga to get past Lopez and Baghdatis to knock out Davydenko.

And after taking Sharapova by 74% over Venus Williams (O ye of little faith!), the Tribe then picked Williams all the way to the crown, with 63%, 83% and 75% favoring her to beat the higher ranked Kuznetsova, Ivanovic and Bartoli on her way to a fourth crown.

Individuals also did very well.  Before I talk about the top performers, I have to acknowledge that it was extremely difficult because of schedule changes and rain delays to stay up with the Picks Game.  One was never quite sure, for long periods of the tournament, who would be playing when.  My thanks to all who stuck with the game, exhibiting great good humor as well as dedication along the way.

Assuming that my tally is correct, we have a winner - kiwibee, whose 46/15 just edged Beckham's 45/16.  Here's your final Leaderboard:

All            Count             Wins           Losses        Percent
Tribe 61 47 14 77%
kiwibee 61 46 15 75%
Beckham 61 45 16 74%
patrick 61 44 17 72%
Matt Zemek 60 44 16 73%
lbk77 59 43 16 73%
Andrew 61 42 19 69%
Dragonfly 60 42 18 70%
Arvydas 56 42 14 75%
Joy 53 42 11 79%
Madame 59 41 18 69%
lilly potter 58 41 17 71%

In the individual tournaments, these Pickers stood out:

Women            Count              Wins          Losses
Matt Zemek 31 24 7
Tribe 31 23 8
Beckham 31 22 9
kiwibee 31 22 9
Dragonfly 30 22 8
lbk77 29 22 7
patrick 31 21 10
Joy 29 21 8
Men            Count              Wins           Losses
Celia 30 24 6
kiwibee 30 24 6
Tribe 30 24 6
Beckham 30 23 7
patrick 30 23 7
Andrew 30 22 8
Jess 30 22 8
Arvydas 29 22 7

Tribe - Men Tribe - Women
Federer (89%) - Ferrero Henin (72%) - S Williams
Roddick (79%) - Gasquet Bartoli (64%) - Krajicek
Djokovic (52%) - Baghdatis Ivanovic (52%) - Vaidisova
Nadal (52%) - Berdych V Williams (63%) - Kuznetsova


Tribe - Men                                  Tribe - Women
Federer (90%) - Gasquet Henin (100%) - Bartoli
Nadal (74%) - Djokovic V Williams (83%) - Ivanovic

Tribe - Men

Tribe - Women
Federer (74%) - Nadal V Williams (75%) - Bartoli

We had two upset picks: kiwibee was alone in picking Tipsarevic over Gonzalez (R32), and Arvydas correctly saw that Bartoli would defeat Jankovic (R16).

Nominations for awards (one per person):

Overall: kiwibee.  Men's:  Celia.  Women's:  Matt Zemek.  Upset: Arvydas.

Thanks to all for keeping the faith and playing.  See you next time.

-- Andrew

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Posted by patrick 07/09/2007 at 07:24 PM

Good job, Andrew as always. Hope the Picks Game will be back during the US Open.

As far as myself, finishing 3rd overall is good especially when I started the men 3rd round with a 10-6 record.

Congratulations to all the winners in the Picks Game. Will be bakc for the US Open.

Posted by Beckham 07/09/2007 at 07:24 PM

Once again...second this some sort of conspiracy to keep Beckham from making her victory speech???? unfreakingbelievable!!! :)

Posted by Celia 07/09/2007 at 07:34 PM

Tied for first in the men's category! I knew I should have picked Roger for the final, but I couldn't turn my back on Rafa.

Posted by svelterogue 07/09/2007 at 07:36 PM

congratulations andrew for a job well done :)

i will definitely join in the USO version

Posted by Beckham 07/09/2007 at 07:44 PM

oops my bad...forgot to say fantastic job as usual Andrew.

And if I come in second again at the would be quite clear to everybody that there is a conspiracy between you, the players, and the Tribe to keep Beckham from her preordained destiny to be the winner of the picks...

Can someone say roadtrip!!!! Bring on the USO!!!

Posted by jb 07/09/2007 at 07:49 PM

Andrew this was great fun. Makes me ALMOST wish I picked Fed's matches - but really, its best I don't.

Hopefully you'll bring this back for the US Open. (If you do - I'm totally NOT placing my picks after GE's - I got HOSED in the mens quarters - every one was wrong! well, the 3 I picked anyhow.)

Thank you again for doing this. Safe trip home from Calgary!

Posted by patrick 07/09/2007 at 07:50 PM

Roadtrip starts next Monday in LA and the playing of the Lever 2000 commericals. Also, the USO brings us Tracy Austin.

Posted by Bismarck 07/09/2007 at 07:50 PM

i´ve got it!!!! i wooooonnnnnn!!!!



i´m not Tribe... i´m Bismarck.


Posted by kiwibee 07/09/2007 at 07:56 PM

OMG!!!!I'm the winner.I can't believe I won and this is the first time I played the pick game. I guess the $8 feder-bear as a gift was well
Sorry Beckham...:)

Thanks to Andrew for doing such a wonderful job. Can't wait for the US Open...Yeah!!!!

I also want to congratulate everyone for playing the game...:)

Posted by Joy 07/09/2007 at 10:01 PM

Thanks again Andrew. I can't wait for the US Open picks game!

Posted by mmmm8 07/09/2007 at 11:20 PM

Congrats, Kiwibee and everyone else up at the top!

Thank you again, Andrew, for all the work!

Posted by tina 07/09/2007 at 11:44 PM

Shoot - I didn't post any picks until near the end, but here at home I picked Tipsarevic over Gonzo, too. Props to kiwibee for that one, especially. If I manage to meet with Janko at Umag, I'll be sure to tell him he's got another believer on here!

Posted by lbk77 07/10/2007 at 12:01 AM

Andrew, great job. Thanks. But I think you missed two of my picks. I picked all 61, but you counted my picks as 59 (I picked all 31 women's games but my count is 29). Here are all my picks compiled together:

Posted by lbk77 06/28/2007 @ 10:15 PM

R32 (Friday - Saturday)


Federer 1 - Safin
Tursunov 1 - Haas
Blake - Ferrero 1
Tipsarevic - Gonzalez 1
Roddick 1 - Verdasco
Mathieu - Ljubicic 1
Gasquet 1 - RogerVasselin
Lopez - Tsonga 1
Davydenko - Monfils 1
Nalbandian - Baghdatis 1
Hewitt 1 - Canas
Kiefer - Djokovic 1
Berdych 1 - Lee
Bjorkman 1 - Arthurs
Youzhny 1 - Nieminen
Soderling - Nadal 1


Henin 1 - Vesnina
Bondarenko - Schnyder 1
Hantuchova 1 - Srebotnik
Sequera - S Williams 1
Jankovic 1 - Safarova
Bartoli - Peer 1
Hingis 1 - Granville
Krajicek - Chakvetadze 1
Ivanovic 1 - Rezai
RuanoPascual - Petrova 1
Vaidisova 1 - Azarenka
Santangelo - Mauresmo 1
Kuznetsova 1 - Radwanska
Paszek 1 - Dementieva
Morigami - V Williams 1
Sugiyama - Sharapova 1

Posted by lbk77 07/01/2007 @ 7:39 PM

R16 (Monday)


Roddick 1 - Mathieu
Gasquet 1 - Tsonga
Ferrero 1 - Tipsarevic


Henin 1 - Schnyder
Hantuchova - S Williams 1
Jankovic 1 - Bartoli
Granville - Krajicek 1

Posted by lbk77 07/02/2007 @ 9:08 PM

R16 (Tuesday)


Roddick 1 - Mathieu
Gasquet 1 - Tsonga
Ferrero 1 - Tipsarevic


Vaidisova 1 - Mauresmo
Ivanovic 1 - Petrova
Jankovic 1 - Bartoli
Kuznetsova - Paszek 1
V Williams - Sharapova 1

Posted by lbk77 07/04/2007 @ 12:57 AM

Women - QF

Henin 1 - S Williams
Bartoli 1 - Krajicek

Posted by lbk77 07/05/2007 @ 1:55 AM

Men - R16

Hewitt 1 - Djokovic
Youzhny 1 - Nadal
Davydenko 1 - Baghdatis
Berdych 1 - Bjorkman

Men - QF

Federer 1 - Ferrero
Roddick 1 - Gasquet

Women - QF

Kuznetsova - V Williams 1
Ivanovic - Vaidisova 1

Posted by lbk77 07/06/2007 @ 1:32 AM

QFs and SFs (Friday)

Men - QF

Roddick 1 - Gasquet
Baghdatis - Djokovic 1
Berdych 1 - Nadal

Women - SF

Henin 1 - Bartoli
Ivanovic - V Williams 1

Posted by lbk77 07/07/2007 @ 1:11 AM

Semi Finals / Women's Final (Saturday)


Federer 1 - Gasquet
Djokovic - Nadal 1


Bartoli - V Williams 1

Posted by lbk77 07/08/2007 @ 12:07 AM

Men's Final (Sunday)


Federer 1 - Nadal


Posted by kiwibee 07/10/2007 at 12:35 AM

Thanks tina. I don't know why I picked Tipsarevic. It must be his unusual fighting spirit...:)

Posted by vladh0007 07/10/2007 at 12:42 AM

We're all waiting for your take on the men's final! Soon?

Posted by tina 07/10/2007 at 07:24 AM

kiwibee: I watched Tipsarevic lose a hard-fought match to Ljubicic at IW 2006 in very cold conditions (for the desert) and with the distraction of Serb supporters who came out for him and tried to make it political (Milosevic had just died.) I was so intrugued by his performance under the circumstances, that I wondered where Pete Bodo was - which is how I found TW in the first place. So I have him to thank for that. And I knew that he wouldn't get flustered by the occasion when playing Gonzo.

A great dark horse pick!

Posted by Matt Zemek 07/10/2007 at 11:22 AM

Andrew -

Nothing short of Herculean on your part.

Many, many thanks for all your immense and tireless efforts.

Posted by Andrew 07/10/2007 at 11:58 AM

lbk77: thanks for the post. Let me review (I'm travelling on business right now) and if/when I find a discrepancy I'll update.

Posted by more tennis less filler 07/10/2007 at 11:59 AM


once again bodo's blog is a complete bore. who care about how the snotty federkad cliquie here did with their picks? lets get back to talking about tennis!

steve tignor is where its at!

Posted by kiwibee 07/10/2007 at 01:59 PM

tina:I hope Tipsarevic will have a more consistent showing in all his matches.Then he can be one of the new up and comers....:)

Posted by highpockets 07/10/2007 at 02:33 PM

Hi everyone. Not sure where to put this, so I'm putting it in all recent threads. Enjoy!


Out of the gloom of the fortnight from Hell
Stepped Roger the Great and young Rafael,
On a glorious Sunday which showcased our sport,
And the moment enshrined on that green tennis court.

In attendance were some of the greats from the past,
In that coverless stadium, so bright and so vast.
There were blue skies with clouds, but gone was the squall,
And the magic of Wimbledon cast a spell on us all.

Roger’s goal was to equal Borg’s five in a row,
But before him stood Rafa, his most formidable foe,
The man who took Paris and stomped on his plan
For two years in a row to win The Grand Slam.

There were questions galore at the start of this thing,
Would the weather disrupt and what would the day bring?
Both players had pressure, but was Roger’s worse?
Would Borg in the stands be a blessing or curse?

Would Rafa’s hard play in the fortnight affect him?
Would this match be a dud or inspire perfection?
Would the coverless court be too harsh in the sun?
Would the tourney be saved? Would we even have fun?

All our questions were answered by two guys with great class,
Who left it all out there on the Wimbledon grass.
What a privilege it was to watch them compete
And take it to five sets … now wasn’t that sweet?

Roger was pounding those aces like missiles,
And Rafa’s ground strokes provoked many whistles.
Nadal had improved beyond anyone’s doubt,
And Roger stepped up with a champion’s clout.

That fine speech by Federer told what it cost,
And who can forget Rafa’s face when he lost?
The sights and the sounds for all those who cheered
Will resonate always in this place so revered.

This match was a classic one, make no mistake,
And tennis reborn in its earth shaking wake.
A ten percent boost in the ratings, they say.
What more could you ask from this wonderful day?

Posted by Or 07/10/2007 at 04:21 PM

Fantastic poem, loved it.

Posted by rani 07/10/2007 at 04:41 PM

amazing poem........keep it up highpockets...would like to see somemore of these at USO...

Posted by CIRE 07/10/2007 at 05:28 PM

ok, heres my poem:

wimbledon is pretty neato
nice to see fed repeato
his serve was like a torpedo
and um, nads took the backseato

yay me

Posted by Moderator 07/10/2007 at 05:59 PM

Poems are fun... but no more on this thread, please. Locker Room is the appropriate thread. Please keep this one open for your triumphs and disasters in the Picks Game.

Teutonic gloom is optional.

We are no longer accepting comments for this entry.

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