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The Flying Pig Fallacy, YC 2.27 02/27/2009 - 12:27 PM

Rafa by Pete Bodo

Well, it's been an eventful week - I never had the chance to resume the coaching series, but I will next week. Meanwhile, I've been doing a little navel-gazing and want to just ramble around a bit this morning.

One of the pleasures of writing a weblog like this is the instant, unlimited feedback you get from readers (tough as that can make life when you screw up or get someone's nose out of joint). As most of you aren't journalists, I'm not sure you can fully appreciate the novelty of all this for someone like me. For most of my adult life, the only out-of-profession response I could count on was the occasional Letters to the Editor submission that made its way to my desk or the Tennis letters department - usually, some weeks after whatever I wrote appeared. Unfortunately, the effort required to actually compose and send such a letter tended to limit the practice of this art form to really, really angry people. This is a whole new and far more vibrant, agreeable (usually) world. You can call me out now, quickly and immediately, but I also like that this street is policed both ways.

For example, yesterday, while reading the Comments on the Stages of Great post, I felt moved to call out a few readers on two different fronts having to do with Roger Federer's game, and efforts to analyze/rationalize some of his results. The first of these is what I would call the Statistical Fallacy, and it occurs when we forget that tennis is first and foremost a game of specific match-ups, and therefore each match comes with an entire palette of subtle technical/mental/emotional issues that help shape the outcome. That is, a player's conversion rate on break points, first-serve percentage, or winner-to-error ratio is shaped by the match-up to a degree that renders comparative statistics a highly dubious enterprise.

Here's a comparison. I imagine (and maybe one of you diligent souls will be moved to do the research on this) that even the best hitters in baseball have less than a hall-of-fame batting average against certain pitchers they face frequently enough for the statistics to be significant (I am not anti-statistic). The lifetime .300 hitter may bat just .125 against a certain pitcher, and while you can put that down to a technical failure to execute (the plane of his swing is too flat for the way this guy pitches; this particular pitcher's fastball is especially deadly against left-handers), but it's more accurate, and fair, to say:  "Pitcher-X has batter-X's number" than it is to say  "Batter-X is .300 hitter, so his failure to hit better than .125 against Pitcher-X is an anomaly."

Often, there's often a reason that execution goes awry. it's really all about the chemistry of the principals and their games, and the result of the mix is often unpredictable. The most realistic, accurate comment is: Holy Cow, Batter-X should thank God Pitcher -X isn't the only thrower in the game!

The other presumption can be called the Flying Pig Fallacy. I was accused of a worshiping at the "altar of Nadal" yesterday (where was Tigress when Nadal fans were skewering me for writing about Federer, rather than Nadal, the day after the Australian Open?) for suggesting that it's not really fair to claim that if Federer's service percentage had been somewhere in the X-per cent area, he would have won the match. This, of course, is the fountain of rationalization from which every KAD drinks copiously and greedily, and it's the same instinct that leads to someone to say: So-and-so should win because he has the best game.

What that really means is: So-and-so has the style that most appeals to me. And winning and losing at tennis isn't about style, or technique. You don't get docked for having a "boring" game, nor are you awarded style points for a pretty backhand. There's a difference between being the most powerful, the most skillful, the most artistic, the most versatile and. . . the best. And that difference is indisputable, at least on a match-by-match basis, because in tennis they keep score. It's about who wins two or three sets first, and that's really about who gets to the other guy's serve more effectively.

This, incidentally, is a two-part issue: how well you protect your own serve, and how well you attack the other guy's. To my mind, Nadal's ability to protect his serve is the least thoroughly explored "technical" issue in the rivalry, and it was an enormous component in the Australian Open final (as well as the underpinning of his repeated triumphs at Roland Garros). Federer's first-serve percentage as a stand-alone statistic, means absolutely nothing because holding is just half the battle - and here's a secret: it's the easier half.

                                                                  **********

One of the less obvious pleasures of being an Internet journalist is that reader reaction can take you on interesting journeys that have less to do with literary content than journeys into the more abstract realms of semantics, or logic. That is, if you care at all about what people say. And I do care - in direct proportion to the nature and tone of any given criticism or observation. Thus, given the controversy stirred by my use of a certain phrase in my Your Call post on the Swedish Davis Cup tie (I'm not going to repeat the offending words here), I found myself thinking quite a bit about word choice and usage the other afternoon.

So let me ask you this. Is it objectionable to write, Nobody does fashion as well as the French! Better yet, how about, Nobody does clay-court tennis like the Spanish. I think we'd all agree that these are not unacceptable or offensive generalizations; they're fact-based opinions that may or may not be true. I doubt that anyone would consider either of those phrases an example of "stereotyping" which suggests that we reserve the use of that word for observations that, for whatever reason, offend us. And the perceived offense easily overshadows and discredits the substance of the observation. Nobody has a problem with identifying the French with fashion, but what if I wrote, Nobody does chauvinism as well as the French. Wanna bet it triggers a host of protests?  So I'm not sure that "stereotyping" is really the issue here; the issue is real or imagined criticism - which may or may not be valid.

Further, what does Nobody does clay-court tennis as well as the Spanish really mean? It certainly doesn't mean that Italy, or France, has no good clay players; nor does it mean that every Spanish pro is a great clay-court player. And it doesn't mean that the Spanish are just clay-court players (I can think of at least one Spanish kid whose game on grass and hard is pretty darned good, too). It just means that Spain has produced more fine clay court players than any other nation, which to some degree is a matter of simple fact. I  think all generalizations of this kind ought to be run through the same logic mill. Maybe a "stereotype" is really just a generalization that we don't like or agree with, or which can't be backed up with a reasonable body of facts. In that case, there is reason to be offended.

                                                              *****************

I was lucky the other day, though, when an angel of mercy jumped in with the "B" word (Brad Pitt), suggesting that the movie star ought to play the lead role in a projected auto-biography of Roger Federer (or was it TMF himself who suggested that?).  Hollywood to the rescue! Soon everyone was talking about his and her favorite actor instead of global politics and things settled down.

Cosby And what would the appropriate Roger Federer movie be called? Maybe He's Just Not that Into Davis Cup? Rancho de Luxilon? How about Breakpoints Are Forever, with a theme song by Shirley Bassey, and a logo shaped like a Wilson tennis racket spelling out 014. Boo-yeah, old school! 

Hey, it's not so far-fetched, is it? There is something James Bond-esque about TMF, and it isn't the first name he shares with one of actors who has portrayed Ian Fleming's celebrated British spy. James Bond could be described as Roger Federer-plus, the plus being a better developed left arm, a lot more experience with semi-automatic handguns, a deeper knowledge of mixology, and a penchant for caddish behavior. But I have a funny feeling that Mirka would put the ki-bosh on that last item, pronto.

And here's something else, Roger is a very tradition-minded guy; who better to take the tennis-espionage tradition to the next level? Let's remember that Bill Cosby, while no longer so ubiquitous, got his start in television portraying co-star Robert Culp's tennis coach in the enormously popular series, I Spy.

Culp and Cosby were a pair of secret agents working under cover as "tennis bums" in the classic sense - they were footloose playboy/athletes, following the sun (and wealthy heiresses) while saving the world from all manner of villains. Culp was the player. Cosby the coach. Federer could do one of those roles nicely, although it would have to be the Cosby gig. Lord knows, Lee Strasberg himself probably couldn't teach TMF how to impersonate someone who's into being coached!. 

Good enough, it leaves the Robert Culp role as the player to - who else? - Marat Safin.

Chatter on! And have a good weekend, everyone.

PS - I've hi-jacked Jackie-Oh's Deuce Club for today, although I may have to post it fairly late tonight, from the farm.

- Pete


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Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 12:33 PM

Great pic of Rafa, back to reading the post

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 12:36 PM

Hey Pete and everyone, back from shopping, and I didn't get lost on the way home or forget everything...that makes it a good day. :)

*excited about Ferru-Djokovic final*

Sorry, Arun and other Gasquet fans.

I feel obliged to point out that not every Nadal fan was demanding posts glorifying our darling Right Now This Minute, or even at all. :)

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 12:36 PM

Oh, yeah first

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 12:37 PM

Hey jewell, I was all by myself here. The headcases doubles match has started.

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 12:38 PM

yay Stella! Twice in a row. ;)

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 12:43 PM

"Rancho de Luxilon?"

Hee.

Posted by Emma (insertwittymantrahere) 02/27/2009 at 12:43 PM

No, Pedro, it's not objectionable to write "nobody does clay-court tennis like the Spanish." Nor anything of the like. Pete, in my mind, all your posts are based on opinion (don't get me wrong, they are always informative, and often fact-based), but since they are, as far as I can tell, usually you giving us your take on certain matters, and opinion pieces, the can't reasonably be attacked. Opinion is opinion, and no-one person can honestly say someone else's is wrong, or invalid.

Re the Fed movie thing, I think Ioan Gruffudd would be perfect to play him, he's suave, sophisticated and has a hint of je ne sais quoi about him.
Marat would have to be played by Eric Dane (McSteamy from Grey's Anatomy), mainly cos they're the image of each other and also cos they both ooze charisma and sex appeal!
Have a great weekend Pete, great post as always!

Posted by rafadoc 02/27/2009 at 12:43 PM

Thanks Pete. You make some good points about stereotyping and criticism. We, as humans, tend to be very sensitive about things we feel strongly about, or conversely, defensive about. I just think it is great that the posters here at TW expressed themselves about these things which opens up conversations, which can open up minds.

And......I think you did a nice job of putting it very clearly about the "flying pig fallacy". This fan thanks you. :)

Have a great weekend!

Posted by Kieran 02/27/2009 at 12:44 PM

Someone please...what does "KAD" mean? Its mentioned above.

Great blog, by the way - required reading for tennis fans! I'd love to read more of your opinion on why Nadal is so successful in the clutch when it comes to defending his serve.

Cheers!

Posted by Emma (insertwittymantrahere) 02/27/2009 at 12:45 PM

Oh and I forgot, i lmao'd at Maybe He's Just Not That Into Davis Cup, that's a cracker!

Posted by crazyone 02/27/2009 at 12:46 PM

*Holy Cow, Batter-X should thank God Pitcher -X isn't the only thrower in the game!*

so based on what you're saying, Pete, I take it that you expect that Federer can do nothing to beat Nadal ever again.

And sometimes I think that too, but I sure as hail hope Federer doesn't think so and is working on things (like yes, shoring up his serve, gaining a more consistently placed first serve and a surer second serve, but more than that obviously) to help him beat Nadal the next time. And where is he going to learn on what to work on? from what he did wrong and how Nadal was able to exploit his weaknesses. It's what Nadal did to get the edge on the faster surfaces...

Holding IS only half the battle, and some of Federer's serving woes are definitely caused by the guy across the net, but I'm still failing to see why serving better wouldn't be a good thing. Big serves was what kept the Wimbledon 5th set going til 9-7, no? When you double fault on set point you can't even *ask* the question to your opponent, "Ok, you've been playing better than me, but can you really close this out?" (For Nadal, the answer is mostly yes, but on occasion it's no, so the question is worth asking). I would have rather seen the match where Federer served better and Nadal still won anyway. The question would have been asked and the answer delivered.

I agree that the ability of Nadal to protect his own serve is totally underrated. Though, part of the reason why I was disappointed in *Federer's* serving performance was because I felt that Nadal wasn't serving *his* best either

Posted by Emma (insertwittymantrahere) 02/27/2009 at 12:47 PM

kieran, KAD is Kool Aid Drinker, in other words, huge fan of _

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 12:47 PM

"McSteamy"

Emma - that can't be his real name? I haven't seen the programme ever.

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 12:48 PM

Dima double faults away the break back at deuce.

4-5, Mr. Safin on serve.

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 12:48 PM

Fun info about Bill Cosby, Pete.

Posted by avid sports fan aka "Sigh-Rena" 02/27/2009 at 12:49 PM

*reposted from the other thread*

Hello good people!

Commiserations to Reeshie fans. I saw a little part of the match before I left home for work and Ferru was on fire and Reeshie went into his "I don't think I can win this mode" which was kinda disappointing. But i am also happy for Ferru even though I would have loved a more competitive match. Congrats to Novak fans and commiserations to Mrs. Gilles Simon aka Jackie.

Well I dunno may be it's just me but I do not clamor to write about a particular player be they a favorite of mine or not. It does not always have to be about the winner or finalist. Sometimes I enjoy even more the posts about the "little known or relatively unknown" who also have goals but may be not the loads of talent to get there but are still trying their best. I have said this before the piece that has stuck with me the most was the one on Bethannie Mattek-Sands (still can't believe she's married now may be she would follow the Lindsay route soon enough ;-)

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 12:50 PM

*joins avid in appreciating the Bethanie Mattek post*

I was actually thinking about that earlier. I think about it a lot.

Posted by Emma (insertwittymantrahere) 02/27/2009 at 12:53 PM

Hey everyone!
Lol jewell, no his real name in it is Mark Sloan, but trust me, there's a reason everyone calls him McSteamy!
And I can't believe you've never seen it, it's great!

Posted by Sherlock 02/27/2009 at 12:53 PM

Great stuff, Pete. Now I have to go re-read it and let it sink in. :)

First off though, great picture of Monica and The Coz, my favorite comedian ever. I could listen to that guy tell his stories and jokes forever.

Posted by Jackie (SMILE!) 02/27/2009 at 12:54 PM

Hi, avid! The Mrs. is just fine. :)

Pete, I'm really a fan of these stream-of-consciousness-type posts. I wonder what it'd be like to just sit inside your head for a day - would be quite the adventure. ;)

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 12:54 PM

Rik de Voest gets broken at love.
Ferru to serve for the first set.

Posted by Ku 02/27/2009 at 12:54 PM

I completely agree with the notion that a player has to admit to himself/herself another player has his/her number. Once that is accomplished, he/she can begin to make adjustments to deal with it.

Until Roger starts admitting to himself that Nadal's game matches up very well against his own, he will keep thinking, 'If I can just serve better', or 'If I just return better with my backhand'. There's no dispute that his A+ game does not surface against Nadal, so he should stop expecting it to do so, and find a way to beat him with his regular A game.

Posted by crazyone 02/27/2009 at 12:55 PM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mulAi7cno2Y

Roger and his "coach" in an action advertisement ;)


Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 12:56 PM

Thank you, Emma. I think I preferred McSteamy to Mark Sloan, however. ;)

Posted by crazyone 02/27/2009 at 12:57 PM

*There's no dispute that his A+ game does not surface against Nadal, so he should stop expecting it to do so, and find a way to beat him with his regular A game.*

But "beating him with his regular A game" will still by definition figuring out the things he needs to do better, figuring out why the other guy does some things better than you, and having some faith that adjusting those things will end up in a better result. There's nothing worse than going into a match with a game plan you don't have much faith in...

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 12:58 PM

7-5, Team headcases.

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 12:58 PM

Finish the post. Great post Pete

I really enjoy the part of the "So-and-so should win because he has the best game". So many fans like to look at the ifs, I confess I was one of them. After the 2007 Wimbeldon final, I was like why didn't Rafa took does break points in the 5th set, why did have to injure the knee, things like that. But since then I learned that there no ifs or buts there is a winner and that's it and there is nothing I can do to change that, anyway it is still fun to analyze the match and statisics.

Woohoo! The headcases take the first set. :-))

Posted by Slice-n-Dice 02/27/2009 at 12:58 PM

I agree, Pete, that "stereotyping" has a definitely pejoraive connotation. Otherwise, it is simply generalizing. YOu examples were spot on, btw.

As for the line: "Federer's first-serve percentage as a stand-alone statistic, means absolutely nothing because holding is just half the battle - and here's a secret: it's the easier half."...

The funny/odd thing is that if we look at the past two or three Slam finals he played against Rafa, prior to this year's AO, Roger's break-point conversion rate was abyssmal, and it fairly determined the outcomes of at least two of those matches.

But in this year's AO, Roger converted four or five (I believe it was five) of 15 or 17 break points, a much better ratio tha we, or I personally, anyway, had come to expect. One would have thought that five breaks of serve would have been enough to seal the deal in three, at most four, sets. But the fact that Roger couldn't HOLD consistently was the real problem, on that day.

Enjoy your footloose day, Pete. You deserve one. ;-))

- Slice

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 12:58 PM

Marat/ David got the first set, whohoo! Too bad I can't watch it

Posted by Julie 02/27/2009 at 12:58 PM

Pete - first of all, can I say how much I admire journalists who open their articles up to "instant feedback"? I wouldn't be brave enough for that! As for "Rafa v. Roger", if both sides accuse you of favouritism you've probably got the balance right :) You could be right about "stereotypes", though your observations are too profound for me at 6.00 on Friday evening,LOL.
Hmm, Federer and Safin in a tennis espionage film? Sounds entertaining. Marat as playboy/athlete isn't a stretch, but Roger would have to work on that side :) They seem to get on very well, so on screen chemistry wouldn't be a problem. I prefer that idea than Roger as James Bond to be honest. Federer's too in touch with his emotions to play that kind of role. I remember someone suggesting Marat would make a convincing James Bond (not TW, can't remember which site) but I don't see it myself :)

Posted by Emma (insertwittymantrahere) 02/27/2009 at 12:59 PM

Yay! Marat and Ferrer take the first set, after Gillou and Reeshar losing i'm glad at least one person I like looks like winning, even if that does mean that Ferrer has to win as well!

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 12:59 PM

thanks greenhopper. :)

Posted by 02/27/2009 at 01:01 PM

"I remember someone suggesting Marat would make a convincing James Bond (not TW, can't remember which site) but I don't see it myself :)"


I think he would be better as a Casanova :-)

Posted by Slice-n-Dice 02/27/2009 at 01:01 PM

One more thing and it's back to the grind for me.

No one commented on my choice for the actor who shlould play Roger, so maybe it snuck in under the radar (or maybe it was ludicrous, but I think not).

I nominate Joaguin Phoenix, whose dark, brooding looks, strong jawline, wavy locks and somewhat scrunched-up facial features remind me more of Roger than any other actor alive today. Also, he has a certain gravitas, which I think suits any depiction of TMF.

Posted by CL 02/27/2009 at 01:02 PM

Oh well, I refuse to jump into this pool again, esp. since I was one of those who said IF Fed had served better at the AO final it WOULDN'T have NECESSARILY meant that he would have won. Though as Crazy1 has pointed out, it wouldn't have hurt either.

In other news...

Crazy1 - racket-wise; get thee to a Walmart. Seriously. Unless you are planning to make tennis a major part of your life and take lessons and play, like 2 or 3 times a week, a cheapo, off the rack number is fine, IMO.

I found the discussion of 'sic' most interesting. I find I have been using it in a 2/3 incorrect way. I use it to indicate that I am pretty sure I spelled something incorrectly, but have no idea how to spell it right and am too lazy/unable to find a correct spelling. Usually happens with names....as in Kafelnikov (sic?)

Shelockandload. Perfect name for the bartender at the Flippancy Bar.

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:02 PM

Casanova.
sigh. Ledger.

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 01:02 PM

Oh Marat would make a great James Bond!

Rafa could do the Roger Moore eyebrow, but, as much as it pains me to admit any criticism whatsoever of my boy, he, er, doesn't seem very good in front of a camera, so that would be about it.

btw I am enjoying and reading the tennis comments on this thread, and the comments about yesterday's (including those in the post); I'm just feeling more shallow than usual today. :)

Posted by harini 02/27/2009 at 01:03 PM

Hurrah for FerruSaf! please don't do the super TB thing today. I just want to see a nice straight set win.

Posted by Ku 02/27/2009 at 01:04 PM

Crazyone,

I get the impression that Roger doesn't analyze his game for adjustments. I have not seen any appreciable difference in the way he plays Nadal from 2005 to now. Many have even commented that he seems to stubbornly expect that his game will come together, and refuse to do anything about the fact that it's not.
What you are saying, is exactly what I am advocating he does, but it seems he refuses to.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:05 PM

harini at 1:03

second that

Posted by CL 02/27/2009 at 01:05 PM

Oh yeah...and I forgot...best of all, the reason I used 'sic' that way was I thought it stood for Spelled InCorrectly. Hee.

Posted by harini 02/27/2009 at 01:05 PM

Marat would def make a great Bond. i feel like Roger would be more like the Sean Connery or Roger Moore Bond--smooth and sophisticated. but I feel someone like Rafa would be more like Daniel Craig's Bond. less smooth and more ready to get rough and dirty.

that's the vibe i get anyway :)

Posted by Jenni 02/27/2009 at 01:06 PM

Agreed, harini. Saferru need to do this in straight sets, just for my sanity.

Posted by Sherlock 02/27/2009 at 01:06 PM

"Lord knows, Lee Strasberg himself probably couldn't teach TMF how to impersonate someone who's into being coached!"

He he he. :)

Beth is going to LOVE the idea of Marat as a secret agent. :)

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:07 PM

Rikky Rik (I think) gets broken at 30.
The smokin' Spaniard on serve at 2-1.

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 01:07 PM

Sherlock, have you still got snow?

Posted by Hart 02/27/2009 at 01:08 PM

>>"I nominate Joaguin Phoenix, whose dark, brooding looks, strong jawline, wavy locks and somewhat scrunched-up facial features remind me more of Roger than any other actor alive today. Also, he has a certain gravitas, which I think suits any depiction of TMF."

Phoenix in his 'glory days', sure Slice, I can totally get behind this. In his current incarnation, however... ;P

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:08 PM

"Saferru"

I like this name :-))
I refuse to call them headcase team anymore :-)), since Ferru played great today and they're doing OK so far in the doubles. They don't look like head cases so far. And look, they got a break in the second.

Come on, Saferru!

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 01:09 PM

This is crime against humanity that there is no stream to see this match. :-(((

Posted by Emma (insertwittymantrahere) 02/27/2009 at 01:09 PM

lol jewell, my friend and I were discussing whether or not Fed would be a good Bond, we agreed that he would. She then mentioned that since I'm a Rafanatic, would I not prefer Rafa to do it? I said defo not, only cos the idea if him propositioning Miss Moneypenny and following his chat up line with a "no?" + raised eyebrow would be heinous to watch! But heck, I'd still pay to see that to be honest!

Posted by Sherlock 02/27/2009 at 01:10 PM

Slice, I like the Phoenix as Roger nomination. Well, pre-psycho Phoenix anyway. :)

Shelockandload. LOL, CL. Naughty and Grant are pure genius.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:10 PM

Stella,

I couldn't agree more with you :-)

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 01:11 PM

yeah, I could see Phoenix as Roger.

LOL Emma, I'd pay to see that as well. :)

Posted by 02/27/2009 at 01:11 PM

Great post, I particularly enjoyed the multiple subjects :)

While I agree with some of your points regarding generalization/stereotyping I have to say that, unlike these examples, the idea expressed on the other article dealt with the kind of prejudice that is bound to evoke raw emotions.

The way I see it, standing by what you said (I personally didn’t find it offensive, by the way) and understanding your reader’s perceptions are not mutually exclusive.

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:12 PM

blah, Ferru. open with yet another DF and broken at deuce.
2-all, Dimmerman.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:12 PM

oh, my..., V/T broke back :-(( Come on, Saferru!

Posted by Sherlock 02/27/2009 at 01:14 PM

Jewell, sadly, no. :( It was only about 31 when it snowed, it rose to mid 30's in a few hours, and it was gone by the afternoon. But it was beautiful in the morning. Three lovely inches of very wet snow. Great snowball/snowman stuff. :)

Did I hear that you got more???

Posted by Kieran 02/27/2009 at 01:15 PM

Thanks, Emma. "Kool Aid Drinker".

*chuckle*

Posted by harini 02/27/2009 at 01:15 PM

WHAT?! Didn't they have break point for 3-1?! AHHH please hold Saferru!!! (i'm borrowing this too Jenni :) )

Posted by avid sports fan aka "Sigh-Rena" 02/27/2009 at 01:16 PM

jewell - ;-) I tell you that post just resounds.

Carlos Moya may play the J-Bond part well especially with the ladies ;-)

BTW I like the "Saferu" tag ;-)

golf OT - As Tiger has bummed out I am all for Camillo Villegas now ;-)

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 01:17 PM

Not since the cool 'week of being snowed-in and not having to go out or do anything much' at the beginning of the month, Sherlock. But it's ok. We got some, we got some! *dances* I was so happy. ;)

We're into spring now which is equally magical in a different sort of way. :)

*shuts up about the pretty flowers, I blathered about those earlier*

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:17 PM

Safin hits the first ace for the team and holds at 30.
3-all, Rik.
Now will be a good time to attack fellas.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:18 PM

well, at least Maratski hold his serve

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 01:18 PM

I was looking for a stream at http://www.atdhe.net/ no luck but there going to have the WTA from Acapulco. There is also a link for the Delray tournament, whatevs.

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 01:19 PM

'Saferu' sounds like a character from a horror film - you know, like Nosferatu.

I kind of like it.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:19 PM

do you, guys, know who's serving on the other team now? is it Dima?

Posted by Julie 02/27/2009 at 01:20 PM

jewell, harini - you think Marat would be a good choice for James Bond? He's certainly got the looks and charisma, though some people would complain about Bond having a Russian accent :) Don't dismiss your boy so quickly, jewell. Put Rafa in a nice suit, get him raising one eyebrow and a lot of women won't care if he can act or not:)

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:20 PM

OK, David, serve big

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:21 PM

Rikky pulls from a 0-30 hole to hold.
3-4, Mr. DF (heh)

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 01:24 PM

"Put Rafa in a nice suit, get him raising one eyebrow..."

*starry-eyed*

good point, Julie. ;)

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:24 PM

30-40.
neither team has saved a BP yet.
and that didn't change.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:24 PM

they're broken :-((

Posted by Emma (insertwittymantrahere) 02/27/2009 at 01:24 PM

good grief! Ferru gets broken, again! If he ruins maratski's chances i may like him even less, which i hasten to add, i didn't think was possible!

Posted by avid sports fan aka "Sigh-Rena" 02/27/2009 at 01:25 PM

Jackie - glad to see the Mrs is doing just fine ;-) Your hubby needs to take a break and rest though. he's been playing a lot.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:25 PM

come on, Saferru, break back here, I don't want a super TB

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:26 PM

I guess, Dima serves well, 30-0

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:26 PM

:-(((((((((
TB

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:26 PM

ah, the stupid breaker.
am not feeling it.

Posted by harini 02/27/2009 at 01:28 PM

Unfreakingbelievable.

WHY?!?!?

OMG SaFerru, you better freaking win the super TB or else!

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:29 PM

My guess Ferru is tired :-(

Posted by Sherlock 02/27/2009 at 01:29 PM

Jewell, gotcha. Well, glad you got some too. :) Now on to the many glories of spring!

I have a really hard time seeing Rafa as Bond. Roger can do debonair very well. Rafa does gym rat athlete very well. I like that about him. :)

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 01:29 PM

Super TB, ekkkk.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:29 PM

or else what, harini? :-)

Posted by harini 02/27/2009 at 01:30 PM

Julie -- that's exactly why I think Safin would make a good Bond :D

sheesh, just when i thought they could win this easily...

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 01:31 PM

But Rafa even *attempting* to do debonair would be funny, awkward and adorable...well worth seeing. ;)

Stupid TB. Meh.

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:31 PM

Ferru's serving woes from the 2nd set have carried over. 4-1, Rik with 2 serves.

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:31 PM

oh, no, they're down 1-4 :-(((

Posted by Sher 02/27/2009 at 01:33 PM

Pete,

Allow me to ramble on the subject a bit.

First,

I think the difference between the perception of "nobody does fashion like the french" and the other phrase is the same as the difference between "french people like fashion" and "blonde people are dumb" one is considered a compliment then other an insult, because of the connotations of the word "fashion" and "dumb".

It doesn't have to do with the facts at all. For all we know blonde people ARE dumb (something I don't believe for a second! says this blonde) but the actual fact of it being so or not, is separate from the act of someone saying it.

Consider the difference:

Scenario A: Person walking on the street is wearing an hat. You march on, thinking the hat is ugly.

Scenario B: Person walking on the street is wearing a hat. You come up to the person and point out the hat is ugly.

There's a world of difference.


Secondly, there's even further difference when you are in a position of authority.

Scenarion C: A well-known journalist writes a front-page story about the ugly hat that person was wearing.

There is no doubt that as we go through te scenarios A, B, C we will hit higher and higher levels of objection from various people because the stated possibly fact-based observation "that's some ugly hat!" is moving further away from an unimportant personal observation made on a street to a serious theory out for the world to see.

It's the same as with Djokovic dribbling a ball 30 times vs someone in position #150 dribbling it 30 times. One is worth noting the other isn't.

I don't have a conclusion. I just have these two observations that help explain why the statement in Your Call was guaranteed to gather negative feedback. There's more going on there, as I'm sure you are aware but this scratches at it.

Posted by 02/27/2009 at 01:34 PM

Marat better serve well to have any chance at it

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:34 PM

why get the 2 breaks back if you're going to give it away?
nice job, Marat.
6-3, Dima.

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 01:35 PM

It's not looking good right now :-((((

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 01:37 PM

It seems the headcases are doing what they do. The other team with 4 MP :-((((

Posted by greenhopper 02/27/2009 at 01:38 PM

6 DFs. Nice team work.
8-5 with 2 service points away from the match.

and the dream is over.
shambolic.

Damm/Lindstedt FTW!

Posted by harini 02/27/2009 at 01:39 PM

SO. ANGRY. i feel i jinxed the match by wanting them to win in straights. better to suspect otherwise!

thank goodness Ferru is at least alive in singles. he better freaking win tomorrow.

sokol, ha i'm not really sure what else. i wish i could tell them both off lol.

Posted by Stella 02/27/2009 at 01:39 PM

And they lose :-(((

Just the usual headcase stuff you get your hopes up and then step on your hear by losing. :-((((

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:39 PM

they lost :-((((
Well, it was too good to last. It was also unfair to Ferrer to play 2 matches with a little rest in between.
I hope Rik/Dima will take the title now

Posted by Master Ace 02/27/2009 at 01:41 PM

Friday Schedule:

ATP: Dubai 5 AM - Novak Djokovic defeated Gilles Simon 3-6,7-5,7-5
ATP: Dubai 10 AM - David Ferrer defeated Richard Gasquet 6-2,6-2
ATP: Delray Beach 12:30 PM - Koubek/Rochus and Baghdatis/Chardy
Both: Acapulco 4 PM - Benesova/Pennetta, Vassallo Arguello/Almagro, V Williams/Zahlavova Strycova
ATP: Delray Beach 5:15 PM - Garcia Lopez/Korolev and Fish/Serra
ATP: Acapulco 10 PM - Jose Acasuso vs Gael Monfils

Posted by jewell - Make tea, not war. 02/27/2009 at 01:41 PM

Sorry Saferu fans. :(

Was anybody rooting for the other two? Congrats anyway. :)

Posted by sokol 02/27/2009 at 01:42 PM

Now, Dubai is officially "dead" for me

Posted by waylandboy 02/27/2009 at 01:47 PM

Pete,

Being a huge baseball fan I enjoyed the analogy of pitcher vs. batter. I understand the point you're making about certain pitchers having a batter's number or vice versa. I would like to see how the statistics work for other great tennis players in history who are discussed as GOAT candidates who had comparable abysmal records against their chief rivals of their eras. Because tennis is such a high form of individual sport (possibly the highest). It is still stunning to me that during Federer's run to 14 majors that he has consistently been beaten by Nadal so many times. Did Borg, Laver, or Sampras have a guy during their primes they just couldn't beat? If you or someone has these statistics I'd appreciate them.

Thank you,
waylandboy

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