It's 2009, and people still haven't understood that Federer doesn't stand a chance against Nadal on clay. Sigh. As if it was only a matter of finding some super clever game plan and voilĂ ! Federer tunes Nadal in straights in the final of RG.
It's simple : Nadal's brand of game cannot be beaten on a slow surface. He's too fast, and he's got so much spin on the ball, that : 1. You can't get past him, i.e. aggressive play won't work and 2. Defensive play won't work either, because Nadal puts more lift on the ball than anyone else, which gives him more options and more security than anyone else.
In other words, you can only beat Nadal by out-Nadaling him, and no player on the tour has his physical abilites. So, mathematically, unless Nadal injures himself, he will be the favourite at RG, on clay, at wimbledon and on slow HC until a better, younger version of him appears.
Alas, it's as if it was too plain an explanation, so many people need to concoct a romantic scenario or imagine that Nadal's superiority is grounded in incredibly technical aspects, as if Federer could suddenly find a way to pierce Nadal's armour, and all that... I won't mention that most tired trope of all, namely, that Federer should attack more. Deadest horse of all. In other words : the Federer-Nadal rivalry has been discussed to death, and it's highly unlikely we will see any developments, barring a serious injury for one of those two players.
Posted by Alice
03/11/2009 at 05:50 PM
I disagree with the comment that several others have discussed, that Sampras never had to contend with a Nadal. Agassi was an all time great player, 8 slams and a career Grand Slam to his credit. It increases Sampras credentials on the GOAT list that he had a winning record against Agassi, and theirs was a classic rivalry that produced some great matches - maybe not quite as epic as Fed-Nadal or Borg-McEnroe, but definitely good stuff.
All the major GOAT candidates had a legitimately great player to contend with. Laver had Rosewall, Borg had McEnroe and Connors, Sampras had Agassi, and Federer has Nadal. The difference is that Federer is the only one who allowed his rival to become a nemesis - the rest all had equal or winning records against their top rival.
Posted by Alice
03/11/2009 at 06:15 PM
For all the analysis of Fed's losses to Nadal, one thing stands out to me that's real simple - Fed needs to play better on the big points. This year he blew several break chances in the Aussie final third set. At the 2007 French he blew 9 break chances in the first set. At the 2006 French he blew Nadal off the court in the first set but couldn't follow up for the rest of the match. He also gave up a match point in one of the Rome finals.
Of course Nadal's toughness had a lot to do with this, but still tennis like any sport has crucial turning points and Fed has been losing most of those. It's notable that the last time Fed beat Nadal in a major was 2007 Wimbledon, and there it was Nadal who blew some 5th set break chances.
Posted by lynney62
03/11/2009 at 08:29 PM
So...Cahill has declined. Hmmm. Family 1st, he says. Guess TMF truly is uncoachable.
Posted by
03/11/2009 at 11:51 PM
@ 4:29 am
'What amuses me of Pete's piece most is NOT that he dislikes TMF, it is the effort he makes to hide his dislikes.'
well said. i often smile when i read some of his circular statements/arguments and somewhat dense prose that is at times used in writing about federer -- some of it occasionally not making a great deal of sense.
dare i write my name and incur pete's wrath (i've seen some his comments to other people who sometimes disagree with him). of course he could dismiss you as a deluded fed 'kad' (awful term - cultish flavour). some of those fans are on roger's website, granted, but that does not apply to many other fans who simply are great admirers of his game. if rafa calls him a 'great guy', as he did in his blog during the us open, i'm inclined to take him at his word and view him as a credible source.
Posted by
03/11/2009 at 11:51 PM
@ 4:29 am
'What amuses me of Pete's piece most is NOT that he dislikes TMF, it is the effort he makes to hide his dislikes.'
well said. i often smile when i read some of his circular statements/arguments and somewhat dense prose that is at times used in writing about federer -- some of it occasionally not making a great deal of sense.
dare i write my name and incur pete's wrath (i've seen some his comments to other people who sometimes disagree with him). of course he could dismiss you as a deluded fed 'kad' (awful term - cultish flavour). some of those fans are on roger's website, granted, but that does not apply to many other fans who simply are great admirers of his game. if rafa calls him a 'great guy', as he did in his blog during the us open, i'm inclined to take him at his word and view him as a credible source.
Posted by
03/12/2009 at 12:06 AM
@ 4:29 am
'What amuses me of Pete's piece most is NOT that he dislikes TMF, it is the effort he makes to hide his dislikes.'
well said. i often smile when i read some of his circular statements/arguments and somewhat dense prose that is at times used in writing about federer -- some of it occasionally not making a great deal of sense.
dare i write my name and incur pete's wrath (i've seen some his comments to other people who sometimes disagree with him). of course he could dismiss you as a deluded fed 'kad' (awful term - cultish flavour). some of those fans are on roger's website, granted, but that does not apply to many other fans who simply are great admirers of his game. if rafa calls him a 'great guy', as he did in his blog during the us open, i'm inclined to take him at his word and view him as a credible source.