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« The Hottie Bowl The CE 10: Super Edition »
In the End, a Beginning
Posted 01/28/2008 @ 3 :29 PM

TsdjEvery major overflows. After two weeks of tennis, seemingly unforgettable moments from earlier in the tournament teeter on the edge of oblivion. Remember the Hewitt-Baghdatis five-setter? The one that ended at 4:30 in the morning? It’s been wiped away, at least in my mind, in a blur of Jo-Wilfried Tsonga forehand winners and Novak Djokovic chest thumps, and won’t be heard from again until tennis journalists make up their year-end Top 10 lists.

In Melbourne this year, we started out debating court speed and late-night starting times, but we finished with two logical, acceptable champions, and a potentially galvanizing new star. So I’m going to forego the tournament wrap-up this time and stick with the two guys who played the best tennis these last 14 days.

To start, Djokovic’s breakthrough should have been a surprise to no one, even though he's only 20 years old. The Serb, with his customary matter-of-fact self-assurance, even said in his victory speech that he was happy that his “first” major came in Australia. The implication is that there will be many more, and they won't just happen in Oz.

He won with his strong point: all-around competence. Djokovic didn’t offer us anything we didn’t already know about his game, but the slow surface gave him a chance to show off his defense like never before. Few players counterpunch their way back into points as aggressively as he does; he runs forward and into hard-hit shots, turning the tables from there. I felt like Djokovic’s backhand was the key in the last two matches. It gave him another attacking option, but a safe one. Both Federer and Tsonga, who relied more heavily on the forehand, went for broke and missed on numerous occasions with it.

Djokovic also won efficiently. He lost only one set, on a miraculous running topspin lob by Tsonga in the final. He vanquished Roger Federer by playing the important points more confidently and serving more effectively than a 12-time Slam champ. And he wore down Tsonga in the final by not making careless errors. Unlike the Frenchman, when Djokovic gained the advantage in a point, he made no mistake with it. In the fourth-set tiebreaker, with his opponent surging, Djokovic didn’t commit a single unforced error, while Tsonga made three and threw in a double fault. After all the running, slugging, jumping, and fist-pumping between these two guys, that mundane fact decided the tournament.

The win was the first at a Slam by someone other than Federer or Rafael Nadal in three years. The crowd was giddy from the start and the match felt fresh, even from the perspective of a TV viewer. It was frankly a relief not to have to hear the announcers try to come up with new and ever-more-grandiose ways to describe Federer’s play. As good as Djokovic is, he remains human for the moment. He showed a lot of that humanity in the final. The man who has worked for the crowd’s love in the past suddenly couldn’t get any of it from the Aussies, who were enamored with the more unlikely—and therefore hipper—Tsonga. Djokovic was thrown off for a full set because his family was involved in an altercation with a group of nearby Tsonga supporters. That’s the downside of making your support group such a big part of your performance. Djokovic's family really does function like a team, which is touching; but it’s also dangerous in an individual sport where you have to isolate yourself to play your best.

As a fan, I’ve enjoyed the wacky Djokovic clan so far—their brazen cheesiness was refreshing on Sunday after the long, entitled reign of that sphinx of the sidelines, Mirka. But how will we feel about Srdjan and company as Djokovic continues to ascend? On Sunday we saw Djokovic as a future king of the sport for the first time, rather than an up-and-coming, attention-seeking class clown. Here’s a guess: His crew’s coordinated shirts and relentless cheerleading—not to mention his own “Yes, I have heart, it’s located here!” chest thumps—are going to wear extremely thin if Djokovic begins to dominate the sport. But we’re not there yet, and we should forgive him his over-the-top excitement this time. He certainly went a long way to charming his enemies in the audience with his victory speech. “I know you wanted him to win. But that’s OK, I still love you guys.” Those are the gracious and honest words of a future king, not an obnoxious attention seeker, and I thought it was one of the highlights of the tournament.

Which leads to a final question: What does his win Down Under mean for men’s tennis? After the final, I had a sense that the days of Federer’s easy dominance were suddenly over. That’s just a feeling, of course; only time will tell, and all predictions are useless. I’m not saying the guard has changed after one match, but Djokovic is also too good to say that this was merely a one-day occurrence. Federer remains the man to beat, but Djokovic just took a big step toward making that a two-man position.

Djokovic will be in Federer’s head the next time they meet. It will be up to Federer to get him out. Until now, I don’t think he’s considered, or wanted to consider, Djokovic as a full-time rival—that spot has been reserved for Nadal in his mind. I don’t get the feeling Federer was fully prepared, from a mental standpoint, to engage in total war against the Serb in Melbourne. That should change when we get to Indian Wells and Key Biscayne, two places that have brought out the best in both guys in the past.

Now what about Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, the man who single-handedly called to mind two American sports legends, one with his name (as in Jo Willie Namath) and one with his face (as in Cassius Clay), and who was the phenomenon of the event? Is he for real?

For obvious reasons, the player I think of first is Marcos Baghdatis. Like Tsonga this year, at the 2006 Open the Cypriot came out of nowhere to reach the final, win the first set 7-5, and lose the next three. The two players also faced off in the U.S. Open junior final a few years ago (Tsonga won). Again, predictions are useless, especially with someone who has been so hit-and-miss in the past, but right now Tsonga appears to have more upside than Baghdatis. He can go off form at times, but the Frenchman wasn’t flaky or faint-hearted at any point over the last two weeks. Put that together with all the athleticism and hitting ability and . . . well, we’ll see.

I’ve never seen a pro play as straight up and down as Tsonga. He barely bends his body during his ground strokes. The effect is one of utter relaxation; the paradoxical result is more racquet-head speed, more pop on the ball, and a high strike zone, which makes taking the ball on the rise a no-brainer. Tsonga also distinguishes himself from his fellow young French rivals, Gasquet and Monfils, with his ability to move forward and take the ball early. He doesn’t camp out behind the baseline and rally passively, which makes for better entertainment. The downside became visible as Tsonga got tired in the final. His relaxed stance and footwork left him out of position as the rallies wore on. He was no longer getting to the ball in time to take it early and dictate play.

Tsonga has seemed too one-dimensional and erratic to me in the past. He bombed out of the U.S. Open last year to Nadal in an unsightly straight-setter. This makes me think he can be distracted and adversely affected by surrounding conditions, expecially wind and noise. Tsonga’s other trouble has been his fitness, and it cost him over the last two sets on Sunday. Otherwise, his attitude in Melbourne was the right one. As relaxed as he appeared to be during points, he maintained that attitude between them. Like Cassius and Jo Willie, Tsonga looks and acts like a star who loves to be at the center of the arena.

If, after two weeks, the Aussie Open has given us a new challenger for No. 1 and a new charismatic athlete, that’s more than enough to remember, and a very promising start to the year.

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Comments

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1st!!!

Hey, Steve,

I thoguht it was a great Open, too. If only the women's side had produced a better final... (or semis, for that matter)

Btw, my favorite line in this post was a passing one: "entitled reign of that sphinx of the sidelines" - oh, snap!

Steve, nice post.
Indeed this is a very excitig start to the year. With the new rankings, Fed is ahead of Rafa with 650 points and Djoko is behind Rafa with a little moe than 80 points. Very close and anything can happen.

Of course as a Rafa fan, this makes me nervous. As much as I like Rafa to be No 1, I can see the possibility of him losing it to Djoko. So, in my opinion, this will take Rafa and Fed out of their comfort zona. They need to work harder and be more careful.

One thing about Fed, I read that the virus was more serious than reported and he was under medication in most of the matches. It was very uncharacteristic of him to move that poorly. I think he is not "dead" yet. He is very much alive and still No 1 and very competetive. Sure thing, Dubai, IW and Miami will be very exciting.

Tsonga is very charismatic, but he abandoned his game( the one that he used to beat Rafa) when he faced Djoko. He needs to prove that he is not another Baghdatis or Gonzo. But he has the cutest face, I have to admit!

VAmos RAfa!

Djokovic's talent is undeniable and he may be a multiple slam winner. However, I couldn't take such a benign attitude towards his parents.

http://tinyurl.com/2edpzb

Some rather shocking comments from his mom in the link I posted

I still have to wait and see how Federer deals with this loss before proclaming his demise.

great post, the ususal with you Steve...

Very good post... Great start to what will hopefully be an interesting and unpredictable year.

Steve,
It was indeed a pleasure to watch the match live with 2 different finalists with intriguing story lines. Novak EARNED his way to the 2008 AO win and Tsonga may start to win titles if he sticks to his attacking style but how will it fare on clay? However, do you know where Cliff Drysdale was during the latter stages of the tourney?

'Tsonga is very charismatic, but he abandoned his game( the one that he used to beat Rafa) when he faced Djoko.'

Djoker hits a much flatter and deeper ball than Rafa. Many times Rafa's shorts will land short and Tsonga would take them on rise and follow in. But Djoker did not give him that chance much.

I think Rafa needs to play more aggressively on hard courts. He will loose more matches in process, but will be worth it in long run.

This looks to be an exciting year of tennis on both mens and womens side.
It will be interesting to see if Rogers loss to Djokovic really changes anything. Can Rafa and Djoko catch up - a new #1 maybe . How about Tsonga...how does he do from now on...

On the womens side...Sharapova looks to dominate...can she continue...Justine will probably start winning everything again but will be careful against Sharapova....How about the Williams when the year began they were very motivated - so disappointing at the open...are they done or can they pull a few slams... time will tell

Federer will do what he has soooooooooo many times in the past. I really dislike people counting him out just yet. He is more than likely to make up for the points he lost last year at IW and Miami since the Guillermo Cañas incident... On the other hand though Djokovic defends a final and a title at those 2.

650 points over Rafa is certainly not much. Rafa is going to play in Rotterdam in 20 days time while Federer will not see action until Dubai and he could be overtaken as the world's #1 tennis player but that is just a mere supposition...

Djokovic.... ffffffffff (blowing air outta my mouth in exhaustion) is a good (and new) ingredient thrown into the mix. But I very much doubt that "the king is dead" and that he will of any threat to Nadal on clay, not even Federer plays as good on any surface as Nadal does on clay, remember the level he reached in Rome last year? when Djokovic deliberately hit the ball to the net on matchpoint to get the whole thing over with? Nadal is stronger, faster and if I may say much smarter on the red stuff..

Federer will always have Wimbledon as his high note tournament of the season plus this year he goes for the olympics as well. Let's see how he bounces back and how well in shape he can get (I for one don't doubt it) and see where that takes agains Djokovic next time they meet. Please think of the 2005 season. Lost in the semis in Autralia and Roland Garros and took the faster surface slams so no reason to think he won't do it again.

The Dijana comments change nothing. Parents are known not to be very objective when it comes down to their offsprings.
However, it's also understandable that a youngster like Novak needs a little confidence-building when coming up against someone of Roger's caliber and aura - which many other pros help maintain : Andy, James, ... and several others are clearly in awe, and Nadal is too polite to make disparaging comments (he reserves his ferocious competitiveness for RG).

Novak makes an excellent new addition to the previous grand-slam-lockdown that Nadal/Federer maintained - it's great to see it open up.
But I am equally looking forward to Nalbandian, Tsonga, Gasquet, Murray and few others to collect their share of fresh scalps.

Many viewers don't like the i) thumbs down, ii) throat-slash, iii) tongue-in-cheek comments like : "He's (federer) going down".
Tennis isn't for the faint of heart. Conversely it should maintain a certain class, thus swearing, vulgarities should warrant sound punishment from the proper authorities, but extending this to the parents/fans is a little ridiculous.

However, saying that the mighty Fed is done is equally ludicrous, but he better be warned - he may find winning his 13th, 14th and record-breaking 15th much tougher than the first 10. Arguably he toiled some to beat Agassi (USO '05) and Nadal (Wimbledon '07), but the rest hasn't been to dramatic.
I get the feeling this is about to change ...

Regards,

SP.

Abybaby: I dont think it was the difference in Djoko´s game that made Tsonga struggle, I think it was the fact that he wasnt pulling out those jaw-dropping-eye-candy volleys.

Antihype: Very shocking comments indeed. I for one want Fed to make her eat their words... with bagels if possible :)

Federer will rise back from this defeat and will show Djoko who is number 1. He will maintain a stronghold to his number 1 position for the entire year and might even win the French Open. his loss at Melbourne will make him more motivated at the French. Meanwhile, as I said in another blog, Djoko will lose to unknown players while Fed will maintain almost invincible; losing only to great plays.

It is curious the use of the word "King" by Novak's parents. Do anyone think that Federer would seriously think of himself as king. Silly!

Federer's best is better than anyone else's best!

athanguy...Federer winning the french...im not so sure...The french is Nadals baby.

As for Djoko losing to unknown players...what are you basing that on....Djoko has been consistently improving and he is only getting better...He can still beat Federer again this very year if they met a couple of time...Look at how well hes done on slams just last yr alone...consistency

elenas,

Consitency is what Federer Has shown since Feb. 2nd 2004 til today. That is consistecy.

Elenas: Consistency is more than Grand slams, but yes, Djoko was very consistent last year. What I think athanguy means is that Djoko can be beaten by top players at their best, while Federer can be beaten by top players at their best *sometimes*. And noone can beat Federer at his best (Ok maybe Nadal in clay... at his best)

Steve,
Outstanding post and wrap up of a great 2008 AO!

Unless Tsonga was a mirage, then we now have 4 players who will provide interest like we have not seen in many years. Name me a match between and combination of nadal, tsonga, fed & Djokovic which is not intriguing on any surface (maybe not tsonga on clay)?

What is interesting to me is how federer will respond. I don't buy the stomach illness and think it had zero effect on his outcome. He was just not very consistent off the ground which i think has been a problem for him since post french open last year. I think he has covered up these inconsistencies with his serve since wimbledon of 2007. Although he self analyzes very well, hopefully he analyzes well enough to admit he needs a coach to get him through this bump in the road. The competition has risen!

Krazy: Fed´s greatness as a player is founded on his movement. When he´s movement is not doing well, his whole game suffers a lot. And the sickness did have something to do with his fitness. Look at this photo in...

http://www.marca.com/edicion/marca/tenis/es/desarrollo/1083237.html

...and tell me that those three players are equally healthy. Allthough I agree he needs a coach.

That is exactly what Mary Carillo implied: When Roger's footwork is not working, his forehand is not working and in the end that is exactly what cost him the match against Djokovic.

FedEx will be the one to bit for at least another 2 or 3 years. And there is not doubt in my mind that he’ll reach 14 GS titles. AO was a great wake up call for him, but was also a sign that it definitely won’t be easy as it was for the past 3 years.

Djoker is coming into his own, only 20 years old with a GS in his pocket and a world of confidence and game to match it. More to it, he has beaten Roger when healthy, sick or whatever, and played him though in AO last year. What separates him from others is his willingness to stake his claim for the #1 and to go after it! I personally take him a lot more seriously then Rafa, because Rafa just simply doesn’t have a game for faster surfaces (which majority of tennis is played on). Rivalry on clay is ok, but Nadal dominates there because of his great physicality, not so much the tennis techniques. I want to see somebody take it to Roger on AO and Wimbledon, and watch some great tennis. Novak can do that; he can give us great tennis in year to come… One great player slowly comes up, the other great slowly approaching late years of this career. It should be a dandy!

Im not going into mom's article at all... She's A MOM, and really has nothing to do with tennis.

The reality is that Federer wasn't playing very well for the entire tournament against good players. I expect him to be playing his usual stuff next time, and he'll be back to winning almost everything. Same with Henin. They are getting older, though. Their best tennis won't last much longer, perhaps a couple of years. Federer was really off with his forehand, and Henin wasn't even going for her shots, and had horrible serving problems. Djokovic served incredibly against Federer. If he had served in the semis like he did in the final, Federer would have beaten him.

Mothers and anyone else can say whatever they want. What will happen will be decided on the tennis court. That's the great thing about tennis. It's one on one, with no votes or polls or anything except offense and defense. This will certainly fire Federer up, and I look forward to the next big event. Federer needs to win it on the court, and so does Djokovic and the others.

Great post, as usual, steve.

I second that Bob... People get caught up in personal non-tennis related stuff entirely too often and for no good reason whatsoever. Will see how this year plays out… it started interesting, thats certein.

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