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« The Tragic Hustle Deep Tennis: The Good-Time '30s »
Looking Out for No. 1
Posted 10/06/2008 @ 3 :26 PM

JjWhat do the rankings mean, exactly? It is a little absurd to have a number next to your name that can change from one week to the next, as this ESPN ad with Roger Federer once pointed out. “You know what I like about tennis are the rankings,” SportsCenter anchor Neil Everett says to Federer. “I like to know exactly where you stand at all times.” Federer—who, by the way, is the best actor among the current crop of pros—replies, “Yeah, it works for us,” before going on to say that Everett probably wouldn't make his Top 10 if he had to rank the network’s anchors.

While they can’t measure a hierarchy of excellence or ability in any precise way—was Serena Williams really the best tennis player in the world last week and the second-best this week?—the rankings don’t lie when it comes to achievement over the long term. That’s why Jelena Jankovic, who at 23 has reached just one Grand Slam final (which she lost), is at the top of the charts again as of today.

When Jankovic first ascended to No. 1 this summer, I wrote that it was indicative of a tour with a power vacuum, and that the women’s game made no sense in the wake of Justine Henin’s retirement. That was partly a reaction to the fact that Jankovic had made her jump at the same time that she was losing in a quarterfinal. It reminded me of the dark days on the men’s side a decade ago, when Yevgeny Kafelnikov lost six matches in a row even as he was taking over the top spot.

The women’s tour is still trying to fill the vacuum. Ana Ivanovic may not have been ready to take on that responsibility, and the Williams sisters, despite their wins at Wimbledon and the U.S. Open, remain more committed to major titles than ranking spots. So that leaves us with Jankovic, a player of remarkable consistency, as well as mental and physical resilience. Most champions—like, say, Rafael Nadal in 2008—have success at Grand Slam events and then ascend to the No. 1 position. Jankovic has essentially eaten her dessert first. The question now is whether she’ll be heartened and inspired enough by this success to translate it back into a win at a Grand Slam sometime soon. The leading question for the WTA in 2009 may be, Is there more to Jankovic’s game than just week-to-week consistency and resilience, or is she just a placeholder for the next true No. 1?

The last two Sundays, in Beijing and Stuttgart, have made me think that our favorite distractible drama queen is getting more ambitious in her old age, and that her game may have more to offer than what she’s shown so far. Jankovic has struggled in finals in the past (she was 6-10 in them before Beijing) and has often seemed satisfied just to reach the later rounds of events. None of that is surprising for a late-bloomer and chronic head case who almost quit the game three years ago and likely never expected to be challenging for Slams. But rather than backing into the top spot this time, Jankovic seized both of these tournaments and won them with what I took to be a new sense of entitlement.

The match that was most representative of her attitude in Stuttgart was her three-set semifinal win over Venus Williams. Jankovic played the first set in her usual manner—smooth and steady, taking few risks and running everything down. There’s a wallboard-like efficiency to her game, but she’s a stylishly constructed wallboard. There’s nothing extraneous to her strokes, which doesn’t mean they’re strictly utilitarian, either. Jumping, taking the ball early, never off-balance, redirecting the ball at will, Jankovic has more grace than can be contained in the word “grinder.”

Against Venus, though, it wasn’t quite enough to get her through the first set, which she lost in a tight tiebreaker. It may have been a blessing. Rather than losing confidence, Jankovic reacted the way a No. 1 should: She got mad. She had already been hitting her first serve with a little more extension and authority, particularly wide in the deuce court, than she usually does. Through the second set, she did the same with her ground strokes. For the rest of the match, Jankovic took the initiative in rallies and got Williams on the run by hitting the ball earlier, harder, and closer to the lines. She followed those shots up with swing volleys, overheads, and touchy-feely stretch volleys. More than anything, Jankovic showed off her unique ability to hit the ball down the line with lots of pace and little margin. If she does go on to be a long-term No. 1, that may be her contribution to the evolution of women's tennis.

Two moments from her semi with Williams stick out. The first came when Jankovic was up 6-5 in the second set and at deuce on Venus’ serve. As I said, the Serb had worked herself back into the match by hitting with more abandon. But she had missed a go-for-broke forehand on the previous point, which would have given her the set. Now, after a long, exhausting rally, she went for another forehand up the line and even added a loud whoop as she hit the ball. It worked: The shot was a winner that left Williams, for one of the few times in her life, huffing and puffing. Jankovic hadn't let her earlier miss make her more cautious. She went on to break for the set.

The second moment came when Jankovic was up a break in the third set at 3-1, but was faced with three break points. Venus had broken her back at one point in the previous set, and she looked almost certain to do it again here—she's always been a tough player to finish off. But Jankovic went deep into her well and came back with three very different, but equally effective answers. She won the first break point with a big-cut forehand that landed near the baseline; she won the second by putting Williams on a string and moving her back and forth along the baseline; and she won the third with a crafty little sharp-angle, heavy-topspin flick forehand that landed at the corner of the service line and sideline. Jankovic held from there and never looked back.

Picture that last shot for a second: Who did it remind you of? That’s right, Martina Hingis. In her fluidity, variety, love of competition, and lack of explosiveness Jankovic bears more than a passing resemblance to Martina Hingis. The Swiss used those subtle skills to sneak in five major titles, but she couldn’t match the Williamses' power. Jankovic has had the same trouble at the big events; she fought hard but finally couldn’t track enough of Serena’s missiles down in the final at Flushing Meadows this year. In the last two sets against Venus in Stuttgart, though, Jankovic proved that she can go for more, can expand her comfort zone, can dictate rather than scramble, and still remain as consistent and versatile as she’s always been. She may have more explosiveness than she's allowed herself to show in the past. She'll need it, even if it costs her some consistency, to win the big matches that Hingis couldn't win later in her career.

Like I said, Jankovic’s mid-career desire for more success will be a—perhaps the—women’s story going into next season’s major events. It’s not like she doesn’t have the personality of a winner. I’ve never see anyone as simultaneously theatrical and wholly concentrated on the task at hand. Jankovic may be the least isolated, least alone great player on a tennis court since John McEnroe. During the most crucial games of the Stuttgart semi, late in the second set, she gesticulated wildly toward her box after missing a ball and engaged in running monologues with her coach and her mom. After one backhand miss, she let out a “Nooo!!!” that sounded not unlike a female Chewbacca. But when she finally broke at 5-6, Jankovic gave the crowd a wide smile as she watched her last shot sail past Venus and land on the line for a winner. It was a look of genuine joy at playing tennis, without a hint of gloating in it. She kept smiling toward her entourage as she walked off the court. Whether angry or happy or wacky, Jankovic is the rare player who can share the sport with the people watching her and still perform at her best.

That doesn’t mean Jankovic is a sweetheart. She milks arguments with the umpire to annoyingly dramatic effect, and, like her fellow Serb Novak Djokovic, she can lose her patience with the ball kids who don’t bring her sweaty towel to her quickly enough. And just because Jankovic engages the crowd doesn’t she isn’t single-minded, even a little ruthless, about winning—even up 5-2 in the third, she wasn't afraid to take an injury timeout.

Hmm…single-minded and a little ruthless on the inside, not always a sweetheart on the outside: Sounds like a No. 1 to me.


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1st??

Steve-

For some reason I just can't see Jankovic being a long term, dominant and deserving (why not?) number one, there are still players that are better than her when they play their best when it matters the most -thus, at the Slams- and she could really go down to be considererd the female version of Marcelo Rios 10 years ago and in the view of many a Slam title would be the only thing to change that (then everyone comes up with the One Slam wonder thing). Jankovic's run to the top stop is yet to be prooved for legitimacy, not in numbers but in achievements, even more so if she happens to hold the no.1 ranking for the year and then win in Melbourne, that's when she will truly have to show what she's made of, that is when (in my view and in that of many) she'll feel she belongs where she stands.

I also don't think Jankovic can be compared to Martina Hingis. The Serbian's game style is a bit disguising in the sense that she gives the impression of always being in the chase of the ball to get back on the opposite side of the court without much purpose until she transitions to attacking rather than giving the sense that she's constructing points the way Martina Hingins used to do it but I do give you reason when you point out that Jankovic's game has more grace that can be contained in the word "grinder" but she still is one. Hingis by the way, was not.

Steve,
Well written and good picutre of her as she won the set with a FH winner on the sideline. If you look at the replay of that point, Jelena was already 3-4 steps to her right before Venus hit the ball toward the corner where JJ made contact.

Believe it or not, I think Jelena is the favorite to win the Australian Open for the reasons said in Steve's write-up. I believe that JJ still has 2-3 yrs to compete at the elite level since she turned her career around in 2006 after enduring a 10 match losing streak.

I don't think it's fair to call her a grinder exactly - she wins an awful lot of points drilling that backhand down the line - which was also a Hingis strategy. She doesn't play the ball in and just wait for errors, but nor does she make too many unforced errors. I think she's got almost the right mix, the same way myskina did (and who she reminds me of much more than hingis, with the same smooth, clean shots) for about six weeks in 2004. I had the same feeling steve did, though, that she's developing the entitlement - she even said in her presser 'I want to end the year as number one'

However, didn't her coach pass her a note during the final? that just isn't cricket...

Ace Rankings as of the completion of Stuttgart

Jelena Jankovic – Rome, Beijing and Stuttgart
Serena Williams - United States Open, Key Biscayne, Charleston, Bangalore
Dinara Safina - Berlin, Montreal, Tokyo, Los Angeles
Elena Dementieva - Olympics and Dubai
Ana Ivanovic - French Open and Indian Wells
Maria Sharapova - Australian Open, Doha, Amelia Island
Venus Williams - Wimbledon
Svetlana Kuznetsova - (Finals : Indian Wells, Tokyo, Sydney, Dubai, Beijing)
Agnieszka Radwanska - Eastbourne, Istanbul, Pattaya
Vera Zvonareva - Guangzhou and Prague

Love love love the post, Steve.

Steve - an insightful article .
And Jankovic does remind me of Hingis in some ways but her game is more similar to Myskina's as one poster stated above .

Damn it, Steve! No room for disagreement again :). It's interesting that your take on both Jankovic and Djokovic involves the ability to change the direction of the ball (at will). When I was watching Djokovic-Cilic at USO, it was this skill of Nole's that seemed to set him apart.

I wonder how important this particular skill will become in the near future. A potentially disturbing consequence is another disadvantage to the one-handed backhand, which doesn't allow the CC to DTL change as easily.

Steve, love this article.
I didn't see the match, darn it, but you took me there. As for Jankovic, no she does not remind me of Hingis, the clever way in which Hingis constructed points; and I do not know Myskina's game well enough to compare the two.

The big question: is she going to take a major. If she has enough self-confidence and belief, she will. I think she sort of dropped the ball playing Serena at the USO. JJ had her moments in the 2nd, running Serena all over the court - but it was too late. I don't think she'll make the same mistake again.

As for getting a note passed to her? Is that true? I mean, is it?

Steve,

> Jankovic may be the least isolated, least alone great player on a tennis court since John McEnroe.

I'm curious what you meant by this - are you saying that McEnroe was not alone in that he always had the crowd with him? My understanding of McEnroe was the opposite; he felt alone and vulnerable on court, and in his autobiography mentioned that he always preferred team sports because he could rely on his teammates when he got down.

I must thank Steve for pointing out two things.

First... "It reminded me of the dark days on the men’s side a decade ago, when Yevgeny Kafelnikov lost six matches in a row even as he was taking over the top spot." So often, people seem to think that these vacvuums and weird ascensions to #1 are the exclusive domain of the WTA. Such thinking (and commenting) may be acceptable from fans who started following tennis a year ago, but it is inexcusable among those who really should know better.

Second... I was also amused by the timing of Jankovic's "injury" timeout. Was there really an injury and if so, was it necessary to get the massage just before her opponent was about to serve?

I smiled when the trainer was called; but I thought that Venus, being an experienced player with some knowledge of JJ's "tactics," would be able to calmly use the unexpected break to catch her breath (she was clearly tiring) and get back into the match. Instead, she seemed to allow the break to rattle her, and, instead of using it positively, she actually lost her serve -- and the match. Venus has only herself to blame for that.

"As for getting a note passed to her? Is that true? I mean, is it?"

Syd,
Yes, the note getting passed to JJ is true. I did not see the note watching JJ play Nadia but I did see a tournament official with their walkie talkie talking to Snezana(JJ's mother).

Ruth,
What "tactics" was it? It's not that Venus had a momentum or something. She was trailing 2:5 in the third. By that time Venus lost 14 out of her 16 break points ...

Thanks Master Ace.

Well, I wonder what the consequences for that are? It seems these days there are no consequences. People taking water whenever they feel like it, taking ages to serve, going back to their chairs....talking to their box, e.g., Anna saying "what" to her coach when she couldn't hear him. It's a joke.

and the "injury" times out. They have to fix that..don't know how, but some players sure are abusing it. I'm a fan of JJ's, but really. How can someone be "injured" almost every time they play?

In a way, she's a bit of a throwback: the thing that makes her defence so great is that she doesn't try to do too much with the ball once she tracks it down - often she just chops it back, or lifts it high, rather than going for the williams-esque running crosscourt winner. I can see her staying at the top for a while, because all of her opponents have to pull off a high-wire act, playing high-risk tennis, to beat her. She might become a sort of lady Hewitt...

A very well written article.Hardcore tennis fans like me however knew all along that Jankovic's potential to become truly great would only be fulfilled if she improved her serve.She has been working hard on it, and it's showing.She has always played her best tennis when she is aggressive.I think this year, she became a little tentative initially.(Maybe the injuries and the pressure of bieng ranked in the top 3).Now, she has started playing the tennis she first showed in 2006 un the US open SF against Henin.If she continues working on her game, i don't see why she couldn't stay at the top of the game for a while.

finally someone giving jelena jankovic the credit she deserves...
cheers, steve.

Matt: I think that that if JJ were as sure of you are that the trailing Venus was doomed to lose the match, she (JJ) wouldn't have used one of her well-known tacvtics and taken that "injury" timeout. Just my opinion based on having observed Jankovic for quite some time.

I would guess that Jankovcic's injury timeouts during the past two years exceed the combined totals of Venus's, Serena's, and those of one other player of your choice over the same two years. :)

I've grown to be a Jankovic fan, she's all I have after Henin retired, so I'm happy to hear a little praise for my favorite serbian drama queen. I've heard the comparison to hingis before but if that's true Jankovic is a bigger stronger version. I don't see the type of guile or touch that a true finesse player like hingis had. For me the shot that I think of with Jankovic isn't the backhand down the line, it's that inside out forehand angle that she hits from the middle of the court. It's a crafty angle but it's pragmatic more than anything else. That sums up Jankovic's game for me. And even as a fan I was a little turned off by some of Jelena's behavior during her match against Venus. Often times I'll turn a blind eye toward gamesmenship but I know that if I were across the net I would've been annoyed. I guess that's the price you pay for all that surplus personality.

I agree with Master Ace that JJ may be a favourite for the Australian Open. I think she's due.

However, bookies.com does not agree, ranking her fourth...
SWilliams
Sharapova
Ivanovic
Jankovic
VWilliams
Safina
Dementieva
Kuznetsova
Wozniacki
Petrova
Zvonareva
Chakvetadze
Radwanska

Jankovic has shown fight and self-belief. I think the AO is within reach for her because
1. SWilliams will no longer feel urgency to hold a GS title now that she's holding the USO
2. Sharapova is a huge question physically, plus she only seems to win GS in even years (next up, RG in 2010!)
3. Ivanovic is in a sophomore slump that likely won't end until she no longer holds the RG title
4. Venus has never surprised at the AO
5. The biggest competition for JJ at at the AO could come from Safina--but she seems just a little behind JJ's psychological-preparedness trajectory in being ready to win the big one--altho DS has been full of surprises this year...

all speculation...

I think this post is an overreaction to Jankovic's success. She has had two good wins. One over Kuznetsova in a final, a player w/ the talent but w/out the mentality to ever be a true Champion. And Venus Williams.

In fact of all the elite players Jankovic's H2H w/ Venus is the only one in the positive. She has losing H2H against Serena, Sharapova, Ivanovic. The big 3 at the moment. And she is 0-5 against the top 5 for the year. Yup that's right 0-5. The no.1 player has not beaten anyone in the top 5. I think the win over Venus is being overvalued. Venus is a 7 time slam champion so it makes it seem like Jankovic has beaten a really great player and maybe proven herself as a champion. But the fact of the matter is outside of Wimbledon Venus is a 2nd tier player. Look at her results. Venus had been in 1 SF outside of Wimbledon prior to Stuttgart. 1 SF all year outside of Wimbledon. She had won 0 titles. And had 0 wins against the top 10. Let me repeat that 0 titles, 1 SF, 0 wins against the top 10. And had lost in the first round of Tier IV against a teenager ranked outside the top 100. Venus outside of Wimbledon is barely a top 20 player. That is harsh but her results say as much. Wait and see what Jankovic does against the elite players when they're playing well. Cuz frankly unless a RG '04 comes around again Jankovic will have to beat at least one or 2 elite top players playing well to win a slam. And her H2H as of now doesn't indicate she has that ability.

"She has losing H2H against Serena, Sharapova, Ivanovic. The big 3 at the moment"

Jason , I'm not going to count Ivanovic , Sharapova the big 3 "at the moment" . Sure they had good results at the beginning of the year but them being the players to "beat at the moment"
- I dont think so .

You have a point, Jason, but to be fair, JJ did beat Serena at the AO (ranked 7th at the time), the defending champ. Plus, I think you may be underestimating Venus slightly... Not only did she win Wimbledon, she was within a whisker of taking Serena out of the USO--leading in both sets, a match which, by much common concensus, could easily have been a final... That puts her 1 and 2 in probably the 2 biggest tournaments of the year--Venus is not to be underestimated... granted, the rest of her results have been a bit second rate this year, so I agree it's difficult to know how significant that Venus-Jelena match was...

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