I m not sure what everyone else has been watching but Murray's current record is - beaten Djokovic twice - Nadal - twice - Federer 5 times. Thats just in the last 6 months. Federer had not won a match since US Open final over Murray.
Murray is not the same player as he was in the US Open 08, he has added a further 9lbs of muscle, and his fitness levels are out of this world. Murray is now favourite to win AO, hard courts are his best surface, its the start of the year, he is going in on form. The others are going in with losses against him. That has got to give Andy the best possible chance.
Federer got a day and half of rest before the US Open final against Andy because Andy's semi with Nadal ran into two days. So in fact Murray had to play there consecutive days, he wasn't as fit then, as he is now, and even then he still took Nadal's game apart. Nadal even said Andy played better on the second day.
He is a lot stronger, fitter and very confident and his mental strength is amazing.
The Masters cup 08, Andy decided that even tho he had qualified getting Federer's scalp meant more to him than the win. He said he can't go out there and NOT try to beat someone as brilliant as Federer.
Yes his wins have been 3 sets, however he did do a lot of 5 setters in US Open, but as he said, he only has to win 3.
Nadal's knees are knackered, they lasted 10 months last year, just trying to beat Federer, I hate to think what he is going to have to put himself through this year to even come close to what he achieved in 2008, and only in the year Federer was ill. Remember Nadal only won Wimbledon by two points, it wasn't a walk over.
You can't compare Murray to the one in the US Open final, as he is so much better now. He beats most with his quickness around the court. His backhand is second to done, his defense is superior to most. He plays intelligent tennis, its not always about the big power shots with him. His opponents miss and when you replay the shot you see Andy has done something, slowed it down, spun it, kicked it up, dropped it short, lobbed it, he has the full arsnal in his game, very few of them do.
That's how Murray beats them, he is unpredictable, his game is unreadable and the power comes out of no where.
Where as Murray reads their game within a few games in the first set.
Djokovic - good player but mentally weak, has the ability to put Nadal out, but not Murray or Federer.
Nadal - still needs more work on hard court, not a thinker, hits power shots most of the time, or copies play.
Federer - all round genius, but due to age, MIGHT not have the strength NOW to go the whole 5 sets at 110%, Murray knows his weaknesses and he plays to them. Federer either has to change it or strengthen it. If that has not all ready been done, and watching Doha, doesn't look like it has been, and he knows it.
Id put my money on Andy Murray v Federer US OPEN final, and it will be well worth it.
Motivation for each player is so different.
Andy wants his first slam, so he has that fire in his gut and youth.
Federer, NEEDS it because of the records with Pete and he only has 4 chances per year.
Bring it on.