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« W: Sweet 16 W: The Lucky Few »
W: Semifinal Preview
Posted 07/01/2009 @ 6 :53 PM

Ar Let me begin by saying that the question I was asked most frequently when I returned from London had nothing to do with Wimbledon, or tennis, or England, or Michael Jackson. It was: “How was your flight? I hope it was better than the one you had going over there.” The return trip was much smoother, just so you know, though I was surrounded by a class of high school students, mostly girls, from Dayton, Ohio, who I can only assume hadn’t descended through many bumpy banks of clouds before. Each time the plane lost altitude and began to float downward during our landing, they shrieked, hugged each other, and then broke apart in spastic giggles—“Dude, we're going to die!” the girl next to me happily squealed to her friend. It was better than Space Mountain.

Seeing Wimbledon on TV after a week of seeing it with my own eyes, I had the same thought that I’d had when I came home last year: It might be better in HD than it is live. You get the same sunlight, but it’s concentrated and made more comprehensible—meaningful—inside the TV’s rectangle, and you get closer to the players. One close-up this morning showed the texture of Serena Williams’ hair in more detail than I’ve ever seen it in person. It seemed to be within touching distance.

Live or on TV, Wimbledon received its best match of 2009 from Lleyton Hewitt and Andy Roddick today. They rallied and rallied and rallied some more, but the quality was high enough and the score close enough to keep it from ever sinking into the mundane, even over five long sets and numerous multi-deuce games. Hewitt, after playing his finest tournament in years, dug himself too deep a hole when he suffered a brief brain camp in the third-set tiebreaker. It was one of the few bad patches of play all afternoon, but it was enough.

With that, the semifinals of Wimbledon are set. What do they hold in store for us?

Elena Dementieva vs. Serena Williams

I know what you’re thinking: Is Elena Dementieve really still in this tournament? I don’t think I’ve seen one point of hers so far, but give her credit: She took an easy draw and didn’t blow it.

If you think Dementieva’s cause is hopeless against Serena Williams, who played a very determined, quality match to beat Victoria Azarenka in the quarterfinals, you’re probably right. Serena beat her in a routine straight-setter the last time they met in a Slam semi, in Melbourne in January, and the American appears to want another crack at her sister in a Wimbledon final as much as she’s wanted anything on a tennis court in recent years.

Before Australia, however, Dementieva had won three straight over Serena, including a big one at the Olympics in Beijing. The Russian thrives on pace, and Serena certainly brings that. Still, I liked Williams’ form, and focus, in the quarters. She doesn’t often lose that once she’s got it at a major.

Winner: S. Williams

Dinara Safina vs. Venus Williams

Serena’s big sister follows her onto the court for the second match, having looked almost as sharp as her sibling this week—neither sister has dropped a set at Wimbledon so far. Her opponent, Safina, has dropped plenty, having struggled her way back from one-set deficits against Amelie Mauresmo and Sabine Lisicki.

Williams and Safina have only played three times over the years—how is that possible?—with the American winning twice. The Russian snuck out a three-setter the last time they played, but that was on clay, Safina’s best surface. This is, as we all know, Venus’ best surface. Like her sister, she gets better as the matches get bigger. How can Safina spoil the seemingly inevitable Williams final feud? I would say that she should try to give Venus no rhythm by mixing up spins and paces, but that really isn’t her specialty. So Safina is going to have to bomb away heavy and deep from the baseline, take charge of points with her return when possible, and not hurt herself with her serve. What are the chances that it will be enough?

Winner: V. Williams

Roger Federer vs. Tommy Haas

There’s always been a little resentment from Tommy Haas over Roger Federer’s outrageous success. The German beat him in two of their first three matches, including a five-setter in Melbourne way back in 2002. For years, Haas must have thought of Federer as another guy of similar talents, not someone who was going to win 14 Grand Slams, while he never even reached a major final. The upshot is that Haas has never bowed to Federer, never put him on a pedestal, never considered him unbeatable. As we all remember, he was just a point away from serving for a straight-set win over him in Paris last month.

Haas is playing even better now. He showed off some frankly beautiful all-court tennis today in beating Novak Djokovic, and proved that a competent transition game and vintage volley technique can still make the difference on grass. Haas, naturally, tried his best to lose his concentration and fold when he served for a two-set lead, but he uncharacteristically gathered himself a few minutes later and saved three set points in the ensuing tiebreaker. He sealed the set with a fabulous approach and stretch volley winner of a sharp Djokovic pass.

You might say Haas has nothing to lose against Federer, but that’s only true until he gets a lead. It isn’t that he can’t close the deal against his old rival; it’s that Federer has looked just as bulletproof at Wimbledon as he did at the French. Soderling threw the kitchen sink at him in the fourth round, and he came up with all the right responses when he needed them. I’m looking forward to seeing Haas do the same, by coming to the net at every plausible opportunity. And I’m betting that Federer, while surrendering a set, finds a way—with stab returns at his opponent’s feet, with clutch serves during tiebreakers, with a killer forehand pass on his only break point of the set—to end the 31-year-old Haas’ Indian Spring.

Winner: Federer

Andy Roddick vs. Andy Murray

From the start, even when Murray was a scraggly whippersnapper, his crafty game gave Roddick fits. The Scot beat him in their first two meetings, in 2006, the second of which happened at Wimbledon. And he’s beaten in their last three meetings, including a straight-setter early this year in Doha.

Does Roddick have a chance against the hometown favorite? He is a steadier and more patient player than he has been in the past, but he also did a lot more work in his quarterfinal, taking five sets to oust Hewitt while Murray terminated JC Ferrero in straights. Murray has borne the pressure well; only in his match against Wawrinka did he appear to be pressing, particularly on his forehand. Roddick will be the guy with nothing to lose, and his serve has been more effective than ever over this fortnight—why is he suddenly acing people left and right? For his part, Murray will have to banish all thoughts of the final, of the Queen in the royal box, of a chance at immortality. That will have to affect his psyche, won't it? Just a little? Maybe?

Steadier or not, 30 aces or not, Roddick has fewer ways to win points than the Man Who Might Be King. The Yank has to serve lights out—which won’t be easy against Murray, who puts a racquet on more serves than just about anyone else—and take his chances in tiebreakers. I'll bet he almost pulls it off.

Winner: Murray

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What, no final predictions?

Just read this one on Twitter: http://www.premiershiptips.com/tennis-tips/dinara-safina-v-venus-williams-wimbledon-semi-final-preview

Every1 finks it will be willams v williams but i think 1 of the ovas can win

1st?

well if venus can just play well enough she wil beat safina hands down.. serena has a bit of a more challenge

I think you're right of course...but I *really* want Roddick to win. I think he deserves to win and if he digs deep he can do it.

Am I going to be first? Anyway, after I write all this, probably not.

Nice hearing from you Steve, I was afraid you'd give it a rest after you got back. No HD for me, alas, but still enjoying the tennis.

Both Williams' look unstoppable, I totally agree. That said, I don't quite think these semis will be as straightforward as everyone makes it seem. Or maybe I'm just hopeful that I can watch a competitive women's match that isn't a chokefest or a Williams' duel. That said, their final last year was really good, even though most people forgot about it 24 hours later. I have a feeling the same thing is going to happen this year.

I'm not quite sure I agree with you in regards to Haas' "resentment" toward Federer. From what I gather Haas is a member of the "I'd-like-to-hate-you-but-you're-too-nice" club that Andy Roddick founded some time in late 2004. Apparently they're pretty good pals, if not exactly cuddly. That said, I think Haas is one of those rare guys on the ATP tour that truly goes into a match with Federer with a fearless mentality, at least until he thinks he can actually win, in which case he quickly morphs into a panic-stricken deer in the headlights. I expect more of the same tomorrow.

maybe Tommy Hass wants to take revenge for last RG lost.Not sure he is determined enough to hold it.And some sparkling..

Correction: I expect Haas to get into a winning position and morph into a panic stricken deer in the headlights on FRIDAY, not tomorrow, although I wish it was that soon.

And I was also correct, not first...oh well, another time.

The fact that Haas emotionally acknowledged the Paris defeat - back then and now - and the fact that he sure is in some sort of awe and intimidation already (always), and the fact *it* is on every player's psyche that Fed is on the verge of...whatever...it is quite unbelievable. Indeed.

Combined with the fact that Federer actually not only looks he belongs there (Fed did NOT look it in last year's RG), but also seems to assert himself as if he is entitled. That backhand flick in the tiebreaker against Ivo, once hit, Fed bent slightly, craned his neck, peered closely, followed that shot to make sure the point was his (3rd set tiebreaker for goshsake which is nearly a match point) and then walked over with a frown. That said it all. Fed knows, wants and feels entitled. I haven't seen him like this in a while. I don't think there's anything that could take it to Fed!

Like Pete said after Haas match in RG this year...a crashing piano, flying limbs, raining frogs...

I'm interested to see what it looks like to watch Haas take Fed's time away by coming to net. I'm guessing that it's going to be disasterous since Roger is at his best while acting on instinct.

I'm more interested in the other semi on the men's side. For some reason I like A-Rod's chances to beat murray on grass than on hard-court, but Murray's become a different player than the young gun who gave Roddick fits. I actually thought a fresh Hewitt would have a better shot at knocking off the scot. I give Andy Roddick a puncher's chance if Murray is nervous. If not this will be a blowout. Murray just gets his racket on too many serves and Roddick won't be able to hit through the court the way he wants or outlast his opponent.

if federer wins his semifinal, he sets 2 more open era records
-first player to reach 20 grandslam finals, taking lendl's record of 19 that has stood since 1991
- first player to reach 7 succesive wimbledon finals, beating the record of 6-in-a-row he shares with borg

he will also have reached his 6th grandslam final in-a-row, allegedly during his decline!!!! i am not sure who last reached
5 in a row before federer??? This is a ridiculous career.

I'm just sorry Rafa is injured and not part of this achievement.

wouldn't it be hilariously awesome to see Roddick and Haas in the finals? I'd love it, though I don't think it likely.

I wouldn't be surprised to see two 5-setters on friday. I'm pulling for Roddick, but only give him a 40% chance of winning. This is the most consistent he's looked all year and the serve is doing damage. Too bad it's going to be against one of the best returners in the game.

As for Haas, I just want to see some good old serve and volleying.

Hurry back Rafa. Wimbly is kinda boring..Go Haas and Murray!

It would be awesome to see Arod and Haas in the final but it's not gonna happen. Still nice to see them in the semis.

how would someone from the west coast have seen roddick/hewitt? am i really to believe this match is lost to me?

Indian spring? Not familiar with that one. Indian summer?

can someone tell me how nbc plans to screw us on friday? in the east coast atleast.

mcakron, NP : thanks for the assessment.Yeah, Nole looked totally flat in the UsOpen SF 08(for most of the match)

Dunno what's wrong these days. Haas says he's glad that Fed made the shot in Paris and beat him! Huh..how can you be glad to loose? I was also surprised that Sod was actually smiling during the handshake after Fed straight setted him in R4 on Monday.

Tsk Tsk..where's the competitiveness people?

Sorry posted in the wrong thread. Mods please delete the post @10:59 PM.

Steve, I MISSED my flight from London. That's definetly worse than making a bumpy one...i think....

OT time:
Watched Martina Nav's Tennis Channel's Signature edition. Beautifully done.

How honest, motivating and inspiring it is!
I always followed Martina, but when it gets capsuled like this under an hour, one relives the whole thing and develop a whole level of appreciation and respect for that woman. What a champ! What a life!

As many of the comentators have said, Dementieva has "ghosted" through the tournament. Yes it is true. But give her full credit for not choking. Personally, I really hope that she wins vs. Serena so that people can finally see what she is made of and see how hard she has worked to improve her whole tennis game. Their is definelty a tough task in front of her, but it isnt impossible.

Can we have a "hear hear" to the idea that these post-match press conferences should be canceled? These "reporters" ask the most inane questions ever. Even Roddick called them out on it today, accusing them of tabloid sensationalism. Also I get disgusted every time a player is asked about Roger and his "greatness". Why must players talk about him?

I've been impressed with Murray's ability to keep it together 'in his own head' during this tournament ... to me the key is to be able to continue to do that. If so, then we get the 2 finals most expected from the beginning:
Williams vs Williams and Fed vs Murray ..
Venus and Serena really deserve to be there, they really have played the best tennis.

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